Messages in AirborneWindEnergy group.                                AWES6209to6260 Page 22 of 440.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6209 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Update From Texas (KiteLab Austin)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6210 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: pvc is not the way to go

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6211 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6212 From: stefanoserra@ymail.com Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: KiteGen Tech Updates: Manipulator Video

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6213 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Upper-air cold

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6214 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6215 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6216 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Update From Texas (KiteLab Austin)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6217 From: dave santos Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Dynamic Plummet Mode? (Inverted Wind Gradients)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6218 From: dave santos Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6219 From: Peter Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6220 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Dynamic Plummet Mode? (Inverted Wind Gradients)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6221 From: Muzhichkov Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6222 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: pvc is not the way to go

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6223 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6224 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6225 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6226 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6227 From: Doug Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Dynamic Plummet Mode? (Inverted Wind Gradients)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6228 From: Doug Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6229 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6231 From: Dan Parker Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6232 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6233 From: dave santos Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Makani AWT, Heaving Seas, and Settling Under Power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6234 From: Muzhichkov Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Albatros

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6235 From: Muzhichkov Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6236 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6237 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6238 From: blturner3 Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6239 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Albatros

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6240 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6241 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Kite system to set anchors by drops

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6242 From: blturner3 Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Ask Damon: Makani AWT, Heaving Seas, and Settling Under Power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6243 From: blturner3 Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6244 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Kite system to set anchors by drops

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6245 From: Bob Stuart Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Kite system to set anchors by drops

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6246 From: dave santos Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Ask Damon: Offshore Operations

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6247 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6248 From: dave santos Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6249 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6250 From: Rod Read Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Kite system to set anchors by drops

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6251 From: dave santos Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6252 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Pirates

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6253 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: The evolution of wind power: kites

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6254 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6255 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6257 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Luis Callejas

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6258 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Water kite. Minesto update?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6259 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6260 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle




Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6209 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Update From Texas (KiteLab Austin)
Good call Dave,
If you promise to be quiet and not scare the kids too much, you can all stay in the loft.

Do you have any plans you could share?
I'd love to do some more sketching on this.

We have large open areas on Lewis... mostly gnarly scrub or heather, which will foul up lines no end.
We also have beach and machair (costal sandy grass) areas. I'm going to do some asking about sites soon.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6210 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: pvc is not the way to go
I just figured out the perfect use for the recently-identified party-noisemaker critical AWE component: a signal method announcing yesterday's "breakthrough", headed to the trash bin!
:)


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6211 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Dave S.:
See, you were unable to address the most simple and basic actual issue I brought to the table: how long warm periods last and how old our warm period is. All you have done is cite a few buzzwords and called a name. Typical. I would expect no more from you.
:)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6212 From: stefanoserra@ymail.com Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: KiteGen Tech Updates: Manipulator Video
Dear all,

Here is the link for the new post where one may access the YouTube Video

http://www.kitegen.com/en/2012/05/07/the-manipulator/

Best regards,

Stefano Serra
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6213 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Upper-air cold
Yeah Joe: Start a business where people are lifted above the hot desert for a cool interlude suspended by a kite? It would work here.
I'd love to be the first guinea pig but I'm probably chicken.
I wonder how many customers before something bad happened...
;)
Old-style refrigeration: lower your food deep into a lake on a rope.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6214 From: Doug Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Robert:
Regardless of all the details, I think it is important that someone stand up and search for arguments on the side of cooling. Any idiot can go along with the bandwagon, repeating platitudes and making vague references to a concensus of experts. To counter the fanaticism of making arguments on only one side, somebody has to see what good arguments might be made on the other side. To not look for such legitimate arguments makes the original argument that climate is always warming insincere.
Thanks Dan'l for pointing out the article showing Alaskan sea ice at record levels.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6215 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Doug,

You are quite correct that we need to look at all sides of the argument.
The problem is that the fossil fuel industry and the public who want to
believe that life need not change have biased the argument far too far
towards warming denial. I am well qualified to understand climate
modelling and have studied it sufficiently to maintain my web page about
it. I also have friends who study the subject professionally. We have a
responsibility to speak up and counter the ff industry lies.

Robert.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6216 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Update From Texas (KiteLab Austin)
On Wed, 2012-05-09 at 10:50 +0000, roderickjosephread wrote:
maps.google.co.uk
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6217 From: dave santos Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Dynamic Plummet Mode? (Inverted Wind Gradients)
Brian called for a discussion of AWE micrometeorology in the context of Makani's AWT Power Curves and claims of "confidence", and lets include similar architectures with identical flight patterns. There is too much past consideration for a full review here, but some new twists to note, such as a predicted "Dynamic Plummet" flight mode in inverted wind gradients.
 
Makani has observed a Dynamic Soaring effect as its AWT loops up and down in the surface wind gradient. They don't call it that, but distinguish in their Power Curve measurements between "wind shear" and no "wind shear", as two crude unquantified windfield states, which we can parse to mean a steeper pronounced gradient v. a less pronounced gradient, as there is usually some amount (greater-than-zero) of increase in windspeed by height. But what about the inverted gradients characteristic of Downbursts, and other wind mechanisms like Katabatic Wind and surface Convective Tails?
 
We have since the beginning of the AWES Forum known that Downbursts are an occasional but still fairly common event in windfields, a hazard to aviation, but decades of research into this topic has resulted in better safety.  There are several causes and varieties of downburst, but the common reality is a pronounced inverted wind gradient near the surface. This clearly suggests that the Makani AWT and related designs must confront a flight failure mode where the boost effect of Dynamic Soaring is aimed at the ground, a risk of a greatly accelerated plummet to the surface.
 
Large-scale KiteLab Group AWES architectures depend on an upper layer of pilot-lifter kite(s), which seem favored to support hot looping wings, as a tendency to suddenly plummet in an inverted gradient is progressively resisted. No such passive corrective exists with Makani's AWT, which must depend on better detection and faster actuation within tighter load-limits. Of course, any AWES can be forced down; we are talking about a major relative advantage.
 
Brian is quite right that this questioning is (partly*) motivated by competitive rivalry between contending architectures, but badly mistaken in thinking it improper to seek to draw out secretive AWE VCs, especially those enjoying exclusive public subsidies, into open technical debate. Makani and ARPA-E may continue to stonewall, but the debates can proceed with Brian playing the valuable role of surrogate debater for Makani's claims v. KiteLab's critiques.
 
 
 
* Lets get the science right!
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6218 From: dave santos Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Doug wrote-
 
 
Doug,
 
Why fantasize i was done reasoning ("unable")? I did in fact directly address the 11000 year cycle "crude averages" you invoked. Please explain and quantify the causes of the highly chaotic variations in the 11,000 yr cycle, to properly make your case. So while i addressed your point and will patiently persist answering as long as you want, its you who totally avoided the question about your poorly supported desire to dump even more CO2 in the air given the ocean acidification issue. Go ahead, give it a shot, take your time for a quality answer.
 
You also are ducking the "superiority bias" critique many of us are making about your seemingly sketchy reasoning. A proper human intellectual is cautious, doubtful, and apologetic about personal bias. Where is there any room for doubt in your mind about your hypotheses?  Who is well convinced by a mostly just boastful presentation style with scant proofs?
 
Oh well, good luck making a competitive AWES by this unpromising cognitive style. We are long waiting on you for any interesting AWES demos, rather than your curious geophysical opinions,
 
daveS

 
  
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6219 From: Peter Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Robert,

There is a glaring error in your web site that seriously damages the credibility of your argument...
"CO2 is a much stronger green house gas than water so it causes significant warming even though its concentration is much lower."

Water vapor and methane are the primary absorbers of infrared radiation.
As I understand the CO2 argument, the small heat gain of CO2 is supposed to allow the atmosphere to hold more water vapor thus increasing the greenhouse effect of water vapor. Atmospheric observations do not show increased opacity in the bands affected by water vapor. This indicates that this part of the CO2 argument is wrong.

I am willing to believe that recent warming is anthropomorphic, but my guess it is more related to land use (deforestation) and methane generation (largely from domestic animals - cattle) than CO2.
I have heard an argument that the increase in methane production is adequate to account for all the warming to date. Nobody wants to talk about this much because the solution would be to reduce the population of domestic animals (and probably of humans also).

I'm not saying that a 40% increase in CO2 is insignificant, I'm just saying it is not the whole story.

I'd be happy if you can point to evidence that my information is wrong.

Peter

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6220 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/9/2012
Subject: Re: Dynamic Plummet Mode? (Inverted Wind Gradients)
I'll try a bit of arguing for Makani in their absence.

"Dude, when scenarios of anomalous vectoring occur, our awesomely sharp computer brain will totally notice.
And it will be all like "hey man totally bogus vectoring, why I aughta pull one of my 15G corners and go into emergency "Don't let my precious wing tips hit the ground mode" " and it'll totally power up out of there like a Phoenix broo. yeah, high five. woooh"

that was me, being a Makani man, talking about his computer, talking about its recovery mode.

And really, why not?  If they've got the billions to waste.. might as well do it.
I suppose apart from the fact that it's the American taxpayers billions.
So doesn't really bother me.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6221 From: Muzhichkov Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6222 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: pvc is not the way to go
LMFAO thanks Doug.

It may look like I headed to the trash bin before creating these monsters of AWE. http://research.kitepowercoop.org/project-updates/basiccomponents 
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6223 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Nice, Alexander!
And the composition of the photo caught my eye: 
Two children with two rising skyscrapers with two kite-system elements with two lines left and right with two foundations: Alarm and Hope and with a PIC with two hands, one gloved and one not gloved ...       Winner!
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6224 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Hill saddle
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6225 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
The "hill" holding could possibly be replaced by lifter-kite system to
result in an AWES.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6226 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Peter,

Thanks for the feedback on my website - always appreciated.

The following quote from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming
clarifies the situation.
"
Naturally occurring amounts of greenhouse gases have a mean warming
effect of about 33 °C (59 °F).[46][C] The major greenhouse gases are
water vapor, which causes about 36–70% of the greenhouse effect; carbon
dioxide (CO2), which causes 9–26%; methane (CH4), which causes 4–9%; and
ozone (O3), which causes 3–7%.[47][48][49] Clouds also affect the
radiation balance through cloud forcings similar to greenhouse gases.
"

Water vapour (invisible to our eyes) absorbs infra red at certain
wavelengths and CO2 absorbs it at certain other wavelengths. Absorption
curves can be seen at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas
Water also forms clouds which sometimes contribute to warming and
sometimes to cooling.

Also from the GHG page -
"
The Clausius-Clapeyron relation establishes that air can hold more water
vapor per unit volume when it warms. This and other basic principles
indicate that warming associated with increased concentrations of the
other greenhouse gases also will increase the concentration of water
vapor. Because water vapor is a greenhouse gas, this results in further
warming and so is a "positive feedback" that amplifies the original
warming. Eventually other earth processes offset these positive
feedbacks, stabilizing the global temperature at a new equilibrium and
preventing the loss of Earth's water through a Venus-like runaway
greenhouse effect.
"

You are therefore correct that methane should receive more attention
than it presently gets. The contribution from cattle could be reduced if
we fed them on grass rather than things like soya which their digestive
systems are not designed for. Another example of big industry chasing
profits at any cost to the environment.

Allowing agricultural waste to rot in the ground is another methane
source that could be fixed. I am trying to raise interest in biochar
because it cuts methane emissions and sequesters carbon. OT for this
group so I will leave it at that for now.

Robert.



Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6227 From: Doug Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Dynamic Plummet Mode? (Inverted Wind Gradients)
Dave S.:
Since you (like me - pot calling the kettle black here...) profess to understand exactly what is required for a successful AWE machine, it baffles me that you could waste one second of your time fixating on what words some other team uses to describe their effort, especially since you seem convinced that their effort will ultimately fail anyway.

Why waste a second on someone else's impending failure? Why not stay focused on the performance of your oscillating kite arrays or whatever your certain breakthrough is this week?
Then again I should take my own advice - I am doing the same thing to you right now. (sigh).

I had better get back to work and make sure I don't waste valuable time on nothingness...
:)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6228 From: Doug Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Yeah see? I ask you to address the 11,000 year average duration of an interglacial, and you change the subject to "ocean acidification".
My last recollection of why ocean acidification was that it was going to wipe out coral reefs.

A few nights ago I saw a show on the deep oceans. One new discovery was that coral grows at all depths, even miles deep. It had been previously believed that coral only grew in shallow water. So the notion that burning fossil fuels will eliminate all coral because it only grows in shallow waters, and increased acidification of surface waters will wipe it all out, is suddenly gone.

Once again the "experts" were wrong on a simple, basic "fact" (coral only grows in shallow water) in a chain of reasoning that falls apart if any such "fact" is wrong, which at least half are.

Dave S., I have to apologize for not understanding your response to my request to explain if I have either of two facts wrong:
1) That the average duration of an interglacial is about 11,000 years
2) that the age of our present interglacial is about 11,000 years.
Could you please explain it again so even someone as dense as me can understand?
:)
Thanks
Doug S.
(people with a 4-letter first name that starts with D and a 6-letter last name that starts with an S are kewl!)

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6229 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
On Thu, 2012-05-10 at 16:42 +0000, Doug wrote:
The length of the previous interglacials varied by thousands of years.
Ice ages were caused by a combination of several features of the Earth's
orbit. My recollection is that the next time serious cooling effects
will be experienced because of orbital factors is 60 000 years away. By
that time the fossil fuel age will be a very distant blip.

It is now very clear that CO2 and methane levels are far too high for us
to slide into another ice age for the next several centuries. However,
the ff age is a blip and we could easily destroy the ability of humans
living in 60 000 years time to counteract the cooling they will
experience then.

For me this article speaks volumes.
<http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/05/07/478984/hug-the-monster-why-so-many-climate-scientists-have-stopped-downplaying-the-climate-threat/?mobile=nc
Robert.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6231 From: Dan Parker Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Hi Robert,

How does this factor into the grand scheme of things? I realize it's long but worth the viewing.   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jf0khstYDLA&feature=share 
 
                                                                                                                                                              Thanks Dan'l
 Ps. Opps!


 

To: airbornewindenergy@yahoogroups.com
From: spiralairfoil@hotmail.com
Date: Thu, 10 May 2012 14:15:02 -0400
Subject: RE: [AWES] Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

 
Hi Robert,
 
                 How does this factor into the grand scheme of things? I realize it's long but worth the viewing.
 
                                                                                                 Thanks Dan'l
 

To: AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com
From: r@copcutt.me.uk
Date: Thu, 10 May 2012 18:10:36 +0100
Subject: Re: [AWES] Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012

 


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6232 From: Robert Copcutt Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Dan'l,

Earlier this year I met this student and her supervisor with the hope
that we could learn from each other about tethers. They have received
government funding as part of a program to see if sulphur dioxide (or
other chemicals with a similar effect) could be pumped into the high
atmosphere. SO2 released at 20km altitude would reflect some of the
Sun's heat. It would also cause acid rain. So geoengineering studies are
being funded.

http://www2.eng.cam.ac.uk/~hc360/

However, the video talks a load of nonsense which is a real shame
considering how much effort must have gone into making it. Aluminium is
the 3rd most common element on the planet. Every shovel full of dirt you
dig anywhere on earth is sure to contain large quantities. If it was
being dispersed as the metal then a microscope would reveal it on any
clean surface left outdoors. The video never reveal what analytical
tools they used to detect the Al and what form they found it in. The
body has excellent mechanisms for regulating Al. Most forms are not
toxic like they were claiming. Strontium is an essential mineral and
anyone with osteoporoses should be taking supplements of it. There is
also no way aircraft could carry the quantity of material they were
claiming to have found. I therefore dismiss the video as a complete
waste of time. Such a shame, but it does highlight one important issue.
We need to put huge pressure on all governments to be far more open and
to keep far fewer secrets.

Robert.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6233 From: dave santos Date: 5/10/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Makani AWT, Heaving Seas, and Settling Under Power
Dear Damon,
 
Here goes another "Ask Damon" question about the Makani AWT, but first some background-
 
Makani proposes landing jumbo-jet scale AWTs onto offshore buoys in VTOL mode. Its a general rule that scaling up to such larger aircraft entails a progressive loss of reserve thrust over weight, due to cubic scaling law.
 
The offshore environment is prone to large waves from even distant disturbances, waves that often travel well beyond the originating wind. This sort of swell will pass under the Makani AWT perch, creating a disturbed surface windfield. It will be hard to avoid the downward "suck" of a passing wave just as the AWT is taking off or landing. In effect, the wave train is like a series of hills, and the suck is lee-side rotors. A large Makani AWT already faces a high risk of settling-under-power, and this wave-suck will promote the loss of lift.
 
So the question is- Has Makani identified this potential failure mode, modeled it, and (ideally) eliminated it as an engineering feasibility issue?
 
Thanks again for any answer,
 
dave santos
KiteLab Group
 
PS KG has for some years now identified dozens of potential failure modes in Makani's concept disclosures and posted them to the AWE Forum. The deep VC secrecy has never allowed outsiders to determine if Makani properly spots such lurking modes, given the known backgrounds of its engineers, and whether these failure modes are soundly resolved. It truly seems as if there is general pattern of overlooking or glossing the many challenges raised, with a drift toward a major debacle that could discredit all AWE architectures in the public mind. Thanks for understanding the increasing pressure on you and your team to shed light on these specific technical questions.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6234 From: Muzhichkov Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Albatros
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6235 From: Muzhichkov Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
Thanks Joe! left is my daughter. Next day my kite had fold somewere in forest and hanged on 10 m high. I got just on third day.

I find out that back-fort motion of energy trancfer doesn't work because a torque from rope is too strong and turbine can not rotate.
http://www.awenergy.ru/media/kunena/attachments/62/2012-04-06220743.jpg

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6236 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
--- In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, Robert Copcutt <r@... ******Robert: "your recollection"? does that settle the debate? Anyone can look this up. I provided a link to the charts. Each interglacial is a spike that does not last very long.*****

*****Very clear based on what exactly?*****

****** OK so like Roderick, once engaged in the actual conversation, you quickly admit the impending cooling trend and cite the solution of burning more fossil fuels to correct it. It's just the exact timeline you have a problem with now. I humbly submit that your thinking remains guided by others: there must be a million ways to cool the planet besides burning fossil fuels. The conversation remains guided by the principle that we can only include two factors: temperatures and burning fossil fuels. Many other factors come to bear but nine are discussed. And even the conversation that included thewe two factors is stunted. It has one timeline (now) and one problem and one action to argue about. That's not even a conversation, it's just a demand combined with a lot of name-calling.
******As long as I see only one side of this debate being promoted, I will continue to sarcastically provide a counterpoint, and maybe get a laugh or two out of it, just to keep it all even and keep feet-on-ground.
:)
-Doug S.************
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6237 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
Sorry but none of these links work.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6238 From: blturner3 Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power
You clearly could do more homework on quadcopters and robotic control systems. ;)
Why would you think that a aircraft that can take off vertically would have a problem with lulls? The PID loops and Kalman filters don't care about passing through zero. In layman's terms that means that if maintaining the circular flight path requires applying power during the climb portion it just happens. The electronics have to be designed to allow it but I believe that they already would be.

Also I have advocated for moving above the boundary layer because many issues like this sap efficiency and add complexity.

Brian

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6239 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Albatros
Yes. #342
at
http://www.energykitesystems.net/AWECommunityIntroVideos.html

Each AWES team is invited to use page search on that file and determine if we are missing any of your videos. Thank you for the teaming for the video-collection project.

JoeF

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6240 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
Morning, Doug. 
In original post I still find that the shown and here again link works from my Chrome Browser: 



The offer in your reply had a prefix that messed the link in the reply. 
But the second line in group for the above link worked for me. 

Rod's page has a cross-valley set of cables that approximate a catenary from which is hung or stressed down-going cables on which are HAWT blades running fan belt or loops to drive generator shaft on ground.        Not novel, but drawings and direction are fun.     Terrain enabled cabled turbines.   I am just noting that kite systems could be utilized for lifting holding cables; also not novel.   

Copy and paste the URL directly in browser?

JoeF
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6241 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Kite system to set anchors by drops
Awaking this morning
this seed came to me, and I wish to share the sketch: 

Use kite system to lift spear-like anchor device.
Drop from high the spear-like anchor device. 
The spear-like anchor device uses the potential energy gained by the lift in order to penetrate the earth's surface to set the spear-anchor deep into soil. 
A line from the anchor will tail the device. Use that anchor in an AWES system.   
Lift and let set as many anchors as needed.  No need for digging or hammers.  
Lift. Drop. Lift. Drop.  Etc.   

Prior notes similar to above sketch regarded kite systems dropping young trees for self-planting.
Dropping things from kite systems is a very old tactic (notes, water, parachutes, toys, candy, ...);  the kite system uses wind energy to give potential energy to objects; the objects are dropped. One may design the amount of drag wanted in objects that are dropped in order to effect the ground or water impact scenario. 

Wanted as a  resource is a robust collection of practical objects to drop along with descriptions, challenges, specifications, purposes, histories, etc.  What, how, when, where, purpose, cost, safety-critical notes, etc.   Many drops from kite systems may replace fueled operations for similar purposes.  Stories of actual replacement of fossil-fuel drop operations by kite systems drop operations are invited.  
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6242 From: blturner3 Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Ask Damon: Makani AWT, Heaving Seas, and Settling Under Power
The Makani wing has exceptional power to weight. A level that is normally only seen in fighter aircraft. It has no fuel, no batteries, no pilot. Electric motors can go 2 to 3 times rated power output for short periods of time. This significantly delays the issue of settling with power as the craft scales up. The small versions of it would have no issue with this. The settling with power issue only happens in certain situations. The way that regular helicopter pilots are taught to deal with this is to avoid those situations. Robots are pretty good at remembering to not do certain things. Humans... not so much. Additionally a quadcopter still has most of it's control authority when in a settling with power situation, helping it get out of it. But it will tend to roll over like the Osprey but not as badly. Getting out of the situation can also be accomplished by moving sideways a few rotor widths. Quadcopters have smaller rotor widths so safety is closer. I always get into a debate as to whether higher or lower disc loading helps prevent settling with power. And as I think about it now I don't know if the Makani wing has a higher or lower than typical disc loading.

The wave issue would be a big problem for small scale aircraft that don't have a lot of surplus power. As the craft gets larger the waves effectively get smaller. So as the cubic scaling takes performance away the waves would shrink. If/When the wave(s) are big enough to cause a problem they can be detected coming.

Brian

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6243 From: blturner3 Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power
I just went to this page:
http://www.makanipower.com/2011/12/faq-ask-damon/

And found the same answer that I just gave you for the question. It looks to have been answered a few months back.

Brian

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6244 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Kite system to set anchors by drops
We will treasure inputs; see new folder and its start page:

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6245 From: Bob Stuart Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Kite system to set anchors by drops
It might be better to arrange a kite to drop a weight repeatedly onto one anchor.  It would improve aim, and compensate for variable sub-soil conditions.   it would also be able to set a much larger anchor from a small one.  One kite might be used to lift the weight, and another one to pull it down to a pulley on the new anchor, to help guide the blow.  Of course, it would also work for the ancient art of general pile-driving.  A pair of kites with a natural tendency to pull and luff in stable cycles might drive a nice compact hammer arrangement.

Bob Stuart

On 11-May-12, at 9:23 AM, Joe Faust wrote:


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6246 From: dave santos Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Ask Damon: Offshore Operations
Brian,
 
Again, thanks for taking on a public defense of Makani's AWT's architecture. I hope Makani will help you make your case, but this risks clearly revealing they really don't have good answers secretly developed. Also, they should pay you if somehow do a good job.
 
Of course i do avidly follow quadcopter robotics, including experience with real quadcopters in my flying robotics circles going back to the 1980s, with actual mechanical gyros as sensors! I don't why you think your own study of this area has surpassed all the old-timer experiences of the aerospace graybeards, or the Forum's collective reviews, unless you have such a background and/or have caught up with the archived Forum analysis.
 
If you review old Forum posts about Makani's AWT and similar concepts (like Joby) you will find many hidden issues to account for.
 
1) Odd problems like seagull poop on rotors (and wings) degrading performance (and even fouling pitots and static ports).
 
2) Symmetrical foils on the rotors as a severe trade-off against expensive variable-pitch or novel reversible-camber blade rotors.
 
3) Impracticality of meeting land-based aviation  maintenance standardards. A heliport on every buoy hardly helps.
 
4) General challenges with operating a high-voltage aircraft in a saline marine environment over extended periods.
 
5) Settling-under-power as a reality all helicopter pilots are trained to respect, rather than dismiss, as you seem wont to.
 
Well, one could go on repeating more and more these old technical concerns for you, but go ahead and address these first. We need to update them anyway.
 
Thanks for implicitly conceding that a pattern of lulls is a common wind condition the Makani AWT must cope with. The KiteLab critique of handling a constant train of lulls with powered hover is not just about increased exposure to inherent VTOL risk; its more about the very limited service life of existing standard components like servos, and what constant excessive dependence on component churn then means to Makani's biz and tech model. Finally, there is the issue of how the churn problem affects Damon's Power Curve; of whether Makani really modeled these effects before making its claims.
 
Regarding heaving seas- The ocean swell direction is often decoupled from the local wind and will result in a heaving (or churning) of the AWT near its perch. Nature eventually wins on a bad day, if you ignore these common fluctuations within the flight envelope. The Makain AWT must cope for an estimated five-year or so pay-back.
 
Be very clear on this- Makani's AWT located offshore clearly does face many daunting issues the company does not seem to discuss. You get to be the first public voice to answer these questions convincingly, given Makani's avoidance of that role, so give it your best shot.
 
daveS
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6247 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Climate Impacts Day 05/05/2012
You've mis quoted me too many times doug... right that's it gloves off,
slap.

I'm going to fly a massive parabolic foil mirror made of kites and fry
all of West America, just to be sure
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6248 From: dave santos Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
A Saddle could serve as a handy AWES launching structure, in support of operations much higher. This "terrain" use may even be coolIP, if the idea turns out to not be documented outside the AWES Forum.
 
Not all Saddles are equal: A Hill Saddle would usually have more fickle and less enhanced wind velocity than a Ridge Saddle, which can form a nice ~steady jet from small differences in pressure across the ridge divide.
 
 
 
 
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6249 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power
I think the wave issue could also be negated by having a near constant
reeling tension from the reeling bouy /landing pad...
As the wave passes reel in faster, as the trough goes by slack a bit

As long as there is some proportional reeling tension control ... not a
bother
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6250 From: Rod Read Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Kite system to set anchors by drops
I have for a while wanted to design an emergency shelter drop.

Based on beehive and skin cell walls.. Walls made of Layers of carbon Kevlar woven sheets, stitched to allow presurised tubes between the layers.

Arrange the walls in hexagonal cell structures with domed roofs.

After dropping in the emergency zone, inflate with air pump for structure, or with water for ordinance protection.


Rod Read

15a Aiginis
Isle of Lewis
HS2 0PB

07899057227
01851 870878




Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6251 From: dave santos Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power
Roddy,
 
Yes, one can reel the VTOL kiteplane in faster to develop more wing lift as needed, but the problem is at the extreme case. of an ungainly jumbo version banging into the perch too fast. Its an incredibly unsupported claim that Makani's jumbo AWT will always be able to dock with a buoy slowly enough not to crack up. There are also disturbed short-line harmonic flight modes to worry about; churn or lose control (Brian can tackle this falure-mode in the next round).
 
There is a definite but unknown limit to how big such an aircraft can be; a limit set by scaling law and the probable worst-case conditions. My guess is that anything bigger than Wing-7 will be sorely stressed,
 
daveS
 
PS to Brian: When you claim the Makani jumbo AWT will fly light (never mind increased structural scaling weight ratios), don't forget these AWTs have been publicly proposed to carry all sorts of extra crap; like ballistic chutes, reserve batteries, and so on.
 
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6252 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Pirates
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6253 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: The evolution of wind power: kites
Article by Paul Dvorak

April 16, 2012
Article features SkySails offshore concept.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6254 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
Any curved ridge could be used in this way by employing only two
towers... one either end.
suspended drops from the catenary along the length of the ridge can
mount tube based kite sets... as per that hill saddle drawing and my
loft demo video.

I reckon this would be particularly effective on the pacific facing
coast of Chile , where they already have tonnes of wind towers along the
ridge...

--- In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, dave santos <santos137@... wrote:
support of operations much higher. This "terrain" use may even be
coolIP, if the idea�turns out to�not be documented outside the
AWES�Forum.
more fickle and less enhanced wind velocity than a Ridge Saddle, which
can form a nice ~steady jet from small differences in
pressure�across the ridge divide.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6255 From: roderickjosephread Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Ask Damon: Power Curve //Re: Google Alert - makani power
Well in that case I propose they use an inverted party hooter solution.

or a variable height soft spire collapsing topped buoy.

or a mix of the two...

Now imagine you can set the buoyant dynamics of the tether... so as it
can stand as a thin flexible (maybe even inflated) beam, way above the
waves. As the quadracopter pulls against it's tether... it's going to
come in softly. Deflate the vertical boom a bit, reel in a bit keep
thrusting up a bit... repeat until guided to the bottom.

Once it does come down onto the buoy... that's when the big wave crashes
into the whole thing sinking it.


--- In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, dave santos <santos137@... wrote:
more wing lift as needed, but the problem is�at the extreme case.
of�an ungainly�jumbo version banging into the perch too fast.
Its an incredibly unsupported�claim that Makani's jumbo AWT will
always be able to dock with a buoy slowly enough not to crack up. There
are also disturbed short-line harmonic flight modes to worry about;
churn or lose control (Brian can tackle this falure-mode in the next
round).
can be; a limit�set by scaling law and�the probable worst-case
conditions. My guess is that anything bigger than Wing-7 will be sorely
stressed,
mind increased structural scaling weight ratios), don't forget these
AWTs have been publicly proposed to carry all sorts of extra crap; like
ballistic chutes, reserve batteries, and so on.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6257 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Luis Callejas



Public Experience
The Entrepreneur
The Tourist
The Adventurer
Weather Events
Fog-catcher
Breeze glider
Sharnal rider
Para-kite energy generator
June 4, 2010   Patent Pending

Luis Callejas , Sebastián Mejia, Edgar mazo, Alexander Laing
================================================
[This second post corrects name spelling in the post title. First post deleted from online view. ]
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6258 From: Joe Faust Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Water kite. Minesto update?
Progress on data sheets and other news at Minesto.  
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6259 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
Thanks Joe:
I clicked and the link worked this time. Turbines suspended from a cable. I've got a copy of an old patent that hung a similar rectangular array of turbines from a single cable - more levels below, resulting in more turbines per cable. I always wondered why nobody pursued it. Too lazy I surmise.

It is curious that this artist thought he should also correct the stupidity of all people who have been designing turbines that actually work, by showing them how many blades each turbine should really have.

One symptom inventors have is to change too many things. If you have an invention thaty uses turbines, just use turbines. Don;t reinvent them too, for no reason except ignorance. Experts know the choice is 2 blades or 3, per rotor. More blades hurt performance, so this is evidence that the designer knows nothing of wind energy and wants to reinvent the turbine itself before hanging any from a cable.
:)
Doug S.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 6260 From: Doug Date: 5/11/2012
Subject: Re: Hill saddle
There is much IP on catenary suspension of wind turbine between hills etc., both issued and pending, over many years, both mine and that of others.