Messages in AirborneWindEnergy group.                          AWES 25231 to 25282 Page 396 of 440.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25231 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Cable drag issue

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25232 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Ground control or actuators in flight?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25233 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Flygen energy kite systems?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25234 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Ground control or actuators in flight?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25235 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Rigid wing with ribs and spars

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25236 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Flygen energy kite systems?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25237 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Dancing and roto kites?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25238 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Dancing and roto kites?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25239 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Cable drag issue

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25240 From: dougselsam Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25241 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Ground control or actuators in flight?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25242 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Flygen energy kite systems?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25243 From: Joe Faust Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: The master's thesis of RAUTAKORPI, PAULI

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25244 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25245 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Kite-Power Efficiency (Betz unsuitablity, Loyd's "lift power", a

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25246 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Drag Power Kite with Very High Lift Coefficient

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25247 From: Joe Faust Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Ivan Argatov

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25248 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: The master's thesis of RAUTAKORPI, PAULI

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25249 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Dancing and roto kites?

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25250 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Kite-Power Efficiency (Betz unsuitablity, Loyd's "lift power", a

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25251 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: The master's thesis of RAUTAKORPI, PAULI

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25252 From: dougselsam Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25253 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25254 From: dougselsam Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25255 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25256 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25257 From: dougselsam Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25258 From: dougselsam Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25259 From: Santos Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25260 From: Santos Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25261 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25262 From: Santos Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25263 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25264 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25265 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25266 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: Minesto News

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25267 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25268 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25269 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25270 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Race for Water Foundation

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25271 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: Race for Water Foundation

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25272 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25273 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: Race for Water Foundation

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25274 From: dougselsam Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25275 From: dougselsam Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: "Technological Readiness" in the news

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25276 From: Santos Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25277 From: Santos Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: "Technological Readiness" in the news

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25280 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Rope-drive transmission

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25281 From: dave santos Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: Rope-drive transmission

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25282 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: Rope-drive transmission




Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25231 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Cable drag issue

For discussion:

"There is a confidence that the cable drag issue, that was raised by Ivan Argatov, was a consequence of a wrong assumption: of a cable that oscillates like the windscreen wiper - even taking into account the catenary effect. The geometry of the movement, and consequently its dynamic, is very different: you have to think at the whip tip or the launch of the fishing line, and reverse their tip movement." (Mario Marchitti).

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25232 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Ground control or actuators in flight?

For discussion:

"Also the projects which have the generators on ground are easily distinguished on their effectiveness and efficiency. It should be excluded those which have a rigid wing, like that of a traditional airplane, with ribs and spars. Because the manufacturing of such a device with , for example, one MW of power, with the cables from the wing which unroll at 10 m/s, should withstand 10 tons of pull, which originates on the wing structure. I wonder how that load can be sustained from such a wing, that should be light and efficient. Also the C-shaped kites which carry the actuators in flight, as  pods just below them, are dramatically affected in their aerodynamic efficiency, technical design and control; they also require significant power from the ground to drive the actuators, which cannot produce a swift response, moreover the retraction phase would be difficult and slow." (Mario Marchitti)



Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25233 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Flygen energy kite systems?

I put again but only the extracts concerning flygen energy kite systems for discussion.


"" The projects which carry the generators on board are doomed to industrial failure, even though they are backed by a giant of the financial world, even though functioning prototypes up to 600kW of target power have been built and flown. Here the weaknesses are easily detectable: they lie on three major drawbacks: it is necessary that the wing carries heavy generators, therefore the wing efficiency is thus reduced, moreover it is necessary to transfer the energy produced to the ground, via a cable. Those projects, suggested by Miles Loyd, are just a sort of reversed aircraft, like the turbine which is a reversed compressor. I don’t think they could be more efficient than the traditional wind turbines – on the contrary." (Mario Marchitti)


"Airborne Wind Energy Systems: A review of the technologies" (A. Cherubini), see page 1473, 7.1:

" 7.1.Effectof flying mass

In all AWESs, increasing the flying mass decreases the tension of the cables.Since Ground-Gen systems rely on cables tension to generate electricity,a higher mass of the aircraft and/or cables decreases the energy production [107] and should not be neglected when modelling [109]. On the contrary, increasing the flying mass in Fly-Gen systems does not affect the energy production even though it still reduces the tension of the cable. Indeed, as a first approximation,the basic equations of Fly-Gen power production do not change if the aircraft/cable mass is included and this is also supported bye xperimental data [108]. "


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25234 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Ground control or actuators in flight?

Only the following extract is about the topic:


"Also the C-shaped kites which carry the actuators in flight, as  pods just below them, are dramatically affected in their aerodynamic efficiency, technical design and control; they also require significant power from the ground to drive the actuators, which cannot produce a swift response, moreover the retraction phase would be difficult and slow." (Mario Marchitti)


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25235 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Rigid wing with ribs and spars

For discussion:

"Also the projects which have the generators on ground are easily distinguished on their effectiveness and efficiency. It should be excluded those which have a rigid wing, like that of a traditional airplane, with ribs and spars. Because the manufacturing of such a device with , for example, one MW of power, with the cables from the wing which unroll at 10 m/s, should withstand 10 tons of pull, which originates on the wing structure. I wonder how that load can be sustained from such a wing, that should be light and efficient. (Mario Marchitti).


This passage is also on the "ground control or actuators" topic (https://groups.yahoo.com/neo/groups/AirborneWindEnergy/conversations/messages/25232) but in fact it concerns another topic.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25236 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Flygen energy kite systems?

We join a prior topic thread of nearly the same starters: 

https://groups.yahoo.com/neo/groups/AirborneWindEnergy/conversations/messages/20360

===========================================

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25237 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Dancing and roto kites?
Making clear that "Dancing Kite" is used for two distinct architectures, the looping pair MarioM is critiquing here, and kPower's single-kite rig.

Again, Mario tends to see serious AWES design defects from his life in avation, that looping pair flight is simply too radically aerobatic for current reliable control. That why kPower is adopting "kPower dancing kite", as a nice name for a more workable design, without regard for the prior naming.

"Dancing kite" useage remains open for any kite with tight motion compared to kites that are static or sweep broadly.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25238 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Dancing and roto kites?
It seems Mario's comment would urge the placement of two separate topics:
1. "cable drag issue"
2.  "dancing or roto kites solutions"
==================================================
The present topic started: "Dancing and roto kites?"  may be enough focus for one topic. 
PierreB started a "Cable drag issue" for special focus, which see.
==================================================

As to the present topic: Dancing and roto kites
here are some comments of mine:  (tethered wings as kites)

1. We have many posts in the forum that touch upon dancing or roto kites.  It is suggested that we gather the posts and list them for consideration within this new topic thread. 

2. Inside some discussions on dancing or roto kites is the suggestion Mario retraced briefly: that dancing or roto kites might reduce the use of tether and thus reduce some tether drag, as the high short tethers and one long feeder tether may be thought of being with less tether than having two long tethers to two separate kited wings; whereas such results in two long tethers in crosswinding generating more tether drag than the option of upper branching into two or more dancing tethered wings.  

3. It seems appropriate to join such as Rod Read's networked wings using ringed multiple tethers, and the like into the spectrum of dancing wings.  Sample: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HW3IcL1Cxfc

4. Some early "Roto-Kite" images showa two-lobe tethered wing featuring a branching short-tether bridle system at the top of a single feeder tether.  See video: 
and we add:  https://www.sequoia.it/en/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/wind-full.pdf  that remarks further on same.

5. Such as:  https://oceanextremesports.com/products/roto-kite    seem to be in the family of multiple wings in a complex while rotating. 
   And various barrel rotary tethered wings?
  And ?

6. Tethered wings set to dance without added control units have been the focus of many posts in our forum. Mining the motion of such dancing for energy (flygen or groundgen) seem to be part of this topic. 

7. Figure 3 in Charles McCutchen and Peter R. Payne - US3987987   seems to be part of the early seeding for this topic.  Circa 1975. 

8. The topic does not seem to logically restrict systems to two or more tethered wings.   So, the single dancing tethered wing seems to be part of this topic.   E.g., consider the dancing single wing held in a lifter system: http://www.energykitesystems.net/DaveSantos/WSIKF2009Augustflygen.jpg  which was a flygen with conductive cable from the lofted generator.   The rigid wing involved that drove the generator dances about. Multiples of such units in train under lifting system would be possible. 

9. Would jiggling tethered wing fences be within the scope of "dancing kites"?


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25239 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Cable drag issue
Cable drag remains a settled secondary  factor. It affects faster kites more, and no one has developed a worthwhile fix, that does not add more mass, cost, and fuss than just using standard line.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25240 From: dougselsam Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
I'm pretty sure I read statements of TRL of AWE concepts, years ago.  Since I pay no attention to such mere "statements of future activity that will never happen", I'm relying here in those who DO pay attention to such (usually false in retrospect) statements, to fill us in on what TRL levels have been assigned to which projects, and when, and by whom.  Have not heard any answers to that.  To me none of it makes any difference, and your protest of "no idiots" seems increasingly weak.  In wind energy, the way to prove that statement would be to have an economical energy solution as stated many times for well over a decade now.  Meanwhile, it looks like the "discussion" is no different ten years later: "Flygen?  Groundgen?"


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25241 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Ground control or actuators in flight?
Again, Mario is echoing critique shared by kPower and others, in this case of control-pod actuation dependence. We are seeing the same divisions in AWES design philosophy between high and low complexity applied here to control pods.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25242 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Flygen energy kite systems?
Watch out for distraction in AWE with confused claims. Focus on clear proven principles.

Increased mass in the form extra wing area or DS ballast increase line tension accordingly.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25243 From: Joe Faust Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: The master's thesis of RAUTAKORPI, PAULI
RAUTAKORPI, PAULI  
P.  RAUTAKORPI

TAMPERE UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
Master’s Degree Programme in Science and Engineering
RAUTAKORPI, PAULI: Mathematical modeling of kite generators
Master of Science Thesis, 59 pages, 20 Appendix pages
December 2013
Major: Mathematics
Examiners: Professor Keijo Ruohonen, Lecturer Risto Silvennoinen
Keywords: kite generator, kite, electricity generation, wind energy
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25244 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug naively objects to NASA TRL criteria, long a standard analytic engineering tool. He offers nothing better to distinguish low TRL ideas, like his ST 1000ft shaft, against those architectures founded on TRL9 COTS power kites.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25245 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Kite-Power Efficiency (Betz unsuitablity, Loyd's "lift power", a

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25246 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Drag Power Kite with Very High Lift Coefficient
Second source of paper: http://kitekraft.de/Research/DragPowerKitewithVeryHighLiftCoefficient_Preprint_FlorianBauer.pdf

Florian Bauer
Ralph M. Kennel
Christoph M. Hackl
Filippo Campagnolo
Michael Patt
Roland Schmehl
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25247 From: Joe Faust Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Ivan Argatov

Ivan Argatov

======================================== 
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25248 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: The master's thesis of RAUTAKORPI, PAULI
Pauli was a favorite presenter of mine at AWEC2011. His numeric work on lying-eight kite patterns well matches KiteLab and kPower's empirical testing observations. 

Our key common finding is the existence of stable passive eight pumping orbits, that promise active control simplified to handling perturbations and exceptions. 

Great thesis!

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25249 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Dancing and roto kites?
Thanks for this relevant analysis JoeF.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25250 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: Kite-Power Efficiency (Betz unsuitablity, Loyd's "lift power", a
On http://www.kitegen.com/en/tag/massimo-ippolito/ writing: "

The Betz limit

On page 206 the Betz law and its limit of 59.3% in mentioned. The mathematical formulations of Betz actually describe the methodology needed to curb the flow of the wind in order to extract energy. They allow us to understand that the wind flow does not have to be fully exploited because it has to flow through the machine without losing all its speed and the energy possessed. A necessary condition to obtain the best result.
However, the Betz’s laws are valuable for wind turbines, which exploit a relatively small wind front limited by the size of the rotating blades, so the wind keeps the residual energy that is not converted by the machine. In the case of high altitude technologies (ground generator), those laws lose much of their importance as the wind front exploitable is dozens of times more than that of wind turbine blades and that the wind speed is reduced only slightly.

The authors of the paper forced the so-called Betz’s law, with the intent to assert that the discovered maximum kinetic power of 7.5 TW is, due to the Betz’s law (59.3%), reduced in 4.5 TW of electric power. This is not true, because if the kinetic power would actually be limited to 7.5 TW, the machines should process wind for 12 TW preserving a flow of 4.5 TW, this absolving the specific that only 7.5 TW Kinetic are subtracted."


I am not sure to understand. Havue you some explains please? Thanks.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25251 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: The master's thesis of RAUTAKORPI, PAULI
A likely original finding, that we might have spotted sooner but did not, is the beautiful precessions of eights orbits that Pauli's simulations reveal. Precession factor seems to account for some anomalous real-kite orbital behaviors.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25252 From: dougselsam Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Yes sure daveS, it's ME who is "naive" while I've predicted exactly what you see today after more than a decade of big talk: NOTHING running on a daily basis, NO grid-feed projects up-and-running, ZERO or near-zero output from any daveS project to date.  What part of "nothing" DON'T you understand?  In my opinion you are 100% empty talk.  I don't know how you can go on at this point.  Do you even have the capcity to be embarrassed?  I think you've disproven most everything you've said thusfar, and I'm sure if all your activity had resulted in anything operational we'd have heard all about it by now.  You often start your tirades with authoritative-sounding characterizations of the opinions of other group members "Doug naively objects", "Pierre is correct that..."  "Roddy neglects..."  "Peter fails to understand..." - that sort of comment.  Your tone is one of omniscience, as though YOU understand EVERYTHING, wheres the rest of us are mentally-handicapped, lost, and in need of your approval or analysis for every feeble thought we mere mortals might dare to express.  I do not see any reason behind your adoption of such a haughty tone.  You don't even acknowledge these unrequested critiques of our thinking are just your own opinions, but instead word them as though you are "the teacher" while we are mere "students" waiting to be "corrected" by you.  In my opinion this ongoing tone of yours is beyond the pale.  I believe, at this point, you've "worked yourself out of a job" with regard to critiquing the thoughts the rest of us try to express on here.  Unless you can provide some evidence that you know better than everyone else on here, I would request you "come down to Earth" and stop pretending your opinion has any more validity than anyone else's.  It would be one thing if you had anything working yourself, but you don't, so please stop pretending as though you know more than us.  The answer to your critique of my noting the ineffectiveness of TRL analysis thusfar in AWE is GIGO - garbage-in/garbage-out.  The only output we need to see is electrical, not just more idle "opinions".

---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25253 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug, you never predicted you would not have anything operating on a daily basis. Can you not show a quote of your actual predictions?

In fact, AWE is happening daily, but by fast progressing experiments. Kiwee One could work daily, if you buy one.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25254 From: dougselsam Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
OK sure daveS, remember I am the one who is naive, you're the one who knows everything.
I was "naive" to say Magenn was idiotic, that Altaeros would not be powering Alaska, that you would not hold your announced "concert", that Makani would not power Hawaii years ago, that "kite-reeling" was not a good idea, that "nobody knew what they were doing", employing terms such as "idiots, idiots, idiots" and "you are watching the bloopers" to describe my interpretation of what I was seeing...  I don't see any need to waste my time finding the exact quotes.  Suffice it to say you two were clueless enough to ban my postings more than once, for spelling out the reality of what's been going on for ten years or more now.  Your endless attempts to dodge reality by attempted injections of "technicalities" such as demanding exact quotes when someone brings up what you or others have been saying for these ten years is really tired.  We've explained that the search feature does not work properly and besides, there are only a few people on here ("the regulars") and we all pretty much know where each other stand on various issues, without you trying to weasel your way out of everything you've said in the past.  I repeat the question: what places you in the vaunted position to be the "final judge" of everything anyone on here thinks?  If you know so much, where are YOUR results?


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25255 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25256 From: Santos Date: 3/18/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug has only been moderated for abusive Netiquete, and not just on this forum. His AWE technical predictions are not controversial, just off base.

In fact, Race for Water represents the first daily AWE capability, having rounded the World with a SkySails rig and regen electric drive, and still touring. Doug's supposed "exact" prediction is thereby disproved.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25257 From: dougselsam Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Thanks Joe but I beg to differ.  You guys only see what you are capable of seeing, which obviously does not include whether various approaches are viable.  So when I'm spelling out exactly why some are not viable, or just going from experience of analyzing 1000 previous "press-release breakthroughs", to your level of understanding I'm "haranguing" (did I spell that right?  Did I really mean "hang-gliding"?) a project like Minesto for example.  Or I'm perceived as overly "negative" and my accurate postings thereby cast aside because they represent more than you guys can perceive, whereas from my viewpoint, they represent realistic observations and assessments.  I've related how I've personally explained to billionaires how their project were complete garbage yet I could not stop them from wasting hundreds of millions of dollars on complete junk that me or a Paul Gipe could explain on an index card.  The problem has always been the same: inappropriately over-enthusiastic promoters cannot be mentally reached with facts, being so "sold" on hype that sounds so much better than the facts that their only answer is to ignore the truth-tellers or worse, call them names, or in extreme cases, censor or ban them outright.
Take Minesto for example.  After a barrage of positive postings by you two regarding the Minesto project, with you two repeating the hype of it being created by "people who design jets", I had a post banned by you personally for even just asking the question of whether anyone thought Minesto would succeed.  Your comment was something like "I know where you are going with that comment".  And as I keep pointing out, that is "shoot the messenger" behavior.  Here I am saying "DO you have ANY IDEA how many times I've heard similar "qualification-based predictions of future success"?  How many jet engine designers do you think I've had discussions with to find out they don't have a clue about wind energy?  Dude, it's very common for these non-solutions to have some "Professor Crackpot"-type "unarguable hero or heroes" that the average person would assume is so "overqualified" for wind energy (or water) that their "breakthrough" MUST be true.
Meanwhile, I've been trying to point out not only the fact of this endless pattern of avoiding factual analysis for any "green-flavored" story, including exactly where they go off the rails.
Where do they go off the rails?  When they reach "Showtime".  "Showtime" is when their grid-tie projects are to begin scheduled operation.  In other words, the story only lasts until they have to prove it.  All the "news" is "in the future".  That "future", when it finally arrives, is where the "newsflow" stops.
So when I asked for opinions on the likelihood of success of the Minesto project, yes I was hinting that maybe it would just be one more "future-news" story that would not manifest as reality.  In fact I got to the point that I actually figured you two into the telltale predictive data stream, saying that I didn't really see any physical reason it couldn't work but with your and daveS' track record of making wrong calls, if you two were "promoting" it, that alone was sufficient reason to doubt it.  The more fundamental reason was I did not see why they did not just build an underwater "wind turbine" (Why the kite?) combined with the weird fact that even such simple underwater turbines have not worked out very well at all so far, usually breaking blades.)  That was years ago now, and that was how far you two had come in establishing your level of "credibility":  "If you two promoted it, it would likely not work".  That is what I havd come to learn.  So I playfully threw it out there, that a valid reason to doubt Minesto was the mere fact that you two promoted it, and your track record spoke for itself.  Well, the Minesto project was supposed to have begun grid-feeding several months ago,  Yet we don't see any Minesto "news" related to the grid-feed project anymore, now that it was supposed to have begun.  Typical, you must agree, by this point, right?  The problem with disproving "future news" is you guys can always claim it is still "in the future".  "Its a delay!"  But in favor of reality, that "delay" excuse gets thinner and thinner as the years roll on, while the grid-feed projects fall by the wayside.  So, let's continue to watch these projects such as Minesto, and see whose predictions turn out to be accurate, THEN we can say in retrospect whether I was banned for being accurate or not.  If you tell me you're going to fly to the moon by pulling up on your own shoelaces, I could cite the known laws of physics and say "no you're not."  Then you could ban me and say it is because I said something "negative".  I could say "no it is because you don;t want to hear facts".  But if you say your lunar launch "will" take place "next Tuesday", all I have to do is wait for Wednesday to debunk (disprove) your statement.


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <joefaust333@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25258 From: dougselsam Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Dear daveS: I've never said a towing kite could not work - quite to the contrary I've stated towing boats by kite should more appropriately be worked out at a smaller scale before going bankrupt trying to use it to pull container ships which are on a rigid schedule and cannot be bothered to test new ideas in the middle of a trip.  It's obvious to me that it's better to develop kites-for-boats at a slower scale-up, starting from where boat-towing-kites are actually used, which is the very smallest craft on the water, kite-boards.  Next logical step would be small pleasure craft, so, good for them.  Finally someone sensible enters the fray.  Better than hearing daveS relate how he almost got killed trying to fly a kite from his kayak.  There has never been any question that a kite can pull a boat, and I have never said a kite could not pull a boat.  In this case though, good thing they have all those solar panels, or they might never make it around the world.  So I'm glad to see my point being made once again: better to work out the details of towing boats by kite with small craft first, THEN work your way up to larger craft.  This is common-sense that even a junior-high-school kid would understand.  That has been my only point regarding towing boats by kite - start small.  In my first CAD class in the 1980's my very first CAD drawing was a boat towed by a kite sail.  I assumed I was the only one thinking of it, although that could not have been 100% true.  My thought was "Why isn't everyone talking about towing boats by kite?".  So promoting kites towing boats to me is definitely "preaching to the choir".  I was one of the first people to get excited about the possibility.
Meanwhile, the topic was replacing all those nasty "windtowers", remember?  (BTW, according to spellcheck, "windtowers" is not even a word)  Feeding the grid from the air?  Remember how easy it was going to be?  How Joby and Skywindpower and Magenn were going to show us all how?  Remember???
Everyone sailing with a Spinnaker has been practicing "kite-towing" for maybe a century now.  Whether one can tow a boat using a kite has never been a true question.  But it is not a substitute for feeding the electric grid using kites.  You can place kite-towing boats with your other stretched definitions of AWE such as scheduling the routes of sailing ships and airplanes with currents in mind, to save fuel, or in JoeF's case, leaves wiggling on trees.  Go on pretending.  Have fun.


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25259 From: Santos Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug, Please form your own topics. This one is not about you.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25260 From: Santos Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Noting that Race for Water used kite traction not just to generate shipboard electricity by backdriving it's prop, but also generated hydrogen fuel storage thereby. 

This is duly expected proof of concept for Dave Lang and others in the AWE H2 club. The power kite is at the top of TRL achievement in AWE, keeping critical-path progress on track, as the many marginal concepts languish.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25261 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25262 From: Santos Date: 3/19/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
We are sorry that Doug so unhappy with the AWE community and us. He is free to write as he pleases on the New Forum, without me. May he live up to his life intentions.

Minesto is progressing in TRL, but no one here has endorsed the architecture. My bet is on networked string and fabric underwater and above. Doug seems not to care to accurately quote or fairly respect the work and opinions of anyone in AWE. The suggested metrics do better.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25263 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Joe I don't know what you expect me to say except to repeat what I said before and to say you are in fact wrong.  You two talked up Minesto because it "was" a "kite".  You were such great Minesto fans that, given your combined track record of predicting anything, I decided that alone is likely to be a sign the Minesto project will not work out.  After all that fanfare, silence from you two.  Right on schedule.  The moment the years of hype reached "showtime".  Like your combined promotion and defending of "Minesto" never happened.  After my pointing out for like 5 projects in a row how you will not hear anything else about them the moment their supposed grid-tie projects are supposed to start feeding the grid - no comment from anyone including you two.  Did I not make a hugely important and relevant observation and prediction there?  Is it not turning out to be true, over and over?  Are you guys really that resistant to facts?  Is everyone here actually brain-dead? 
Now you're copying my use of "false statement".  Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery (thanks), but the only reason I use that term is because I get banned for pointing out what you two do if I use the word "lie".  So I have to use a euphemism.  The most disappointing thing is you two don't even have the courage of your convictions - you both often now just deny what you said previously.  There seems to be no bottom to how low you two are willing to go.  I mean, for years we suffer daveS claiming to be some top researcher and suddenly, a week or two ago, his new position is "I never said that - show us the quote".  I mean, pick a lane.  You two have no technical solutions to offer, so at least run a consistent and honest forum.


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <joefaust333@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25264 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Fixated on your latest desperate theme-of-the-week again eh daveS? 
TRL matrix analysis: Suddenly hugely important.
Never any answer as to the accuracy of previous TRL analyses.  No follow through, on anything, ever.
What happened to your Dutch Roll "breakthrough" from a few weeks ago?  The one where you said you will be generating electricity soon and I "won't be disppointed"?   Moved on I guess, huh?  Bored with that now?  At least it gave you an online talking point, right?  Another artificial shot of adrenalin that led nowhere?  What about your "Bose-Einetein condensate" networks?  Why do you say "Minesto is progressing"?  What information do you have? 


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25265 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug is wrong to not provide proper quotes for his personal attacks. Why can he not focus on elevating ST TRL instead? He's going to miss the fly-off era with his helpless complaining.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25266 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: Minesto News
Some new items on Minesto's news page: 
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25267 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
What evidence do you have that they have successfully utilized these features?  You state it as a fact.  Can you provide numbers to back up your statements?


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25268 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug, this is the TRL topic, and the desperate case is the ST, at TRL4-5 not the power kite, at TRL9. Only you seem to think traction and generation power cannot both be done.

The dutch-roll topic is hot, working on a 32m2 NPW version for you. Change topics if you want details.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25269 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
You still have not provided a single completed scoring matrix to back up your claims that they have been useful to predict anything in AWE.  If you were astute, you might start to notice after ten years plus, that I know what I'm talking about, and that my opinion is more accurate than any completed TRL form, of which you still have shown no examples.

daveS: "We are sorry that Doug so unhappy with the AWE community and us."
DougS: I am "sorry" you are still not generating any electricity, and none of the stated grid-tie AWE projects have materialized, after more than a decade.


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25270 From: joe_f_90032 Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Race for Water Foundation

Race for Water Foundation


Start: 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gy4r4-QIlGc


[ ] gather our prior notes

[ ] Consider posting "Race for Water" tech notes in one topic thread dedicated. 


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25271 From: dougselsam Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: Race for Water Foundation
Nice Joe - no numbers, like I thought.  The boat has solar panels and batteries to store the electricity.  Batteries are efficient in returning the energy put in.  Electrolysis and fuel cells for hydrogen are not efficient, so I doubt if they were seriously utilized.  Splitting hydrogen is something like 50% efficient.  Compressing H2 involves losses.  Return of energy from H2 fuel cells is also not efficient - 50%?  So the full cycle of hydrogen storage - less than 20% efficient, seems unlikely to be utilized much,if at all, when they have batteries onboard.  Hey I like their boat.  How could anyone not like it?  And if they sometimes are able to get a kite up, to help pull it, so much the better.  It would be interesting to see one powered ONLY by a kite and see how that does.  Remember my first wind energy patent that featured a wind-turbine-powered boat with an onboard generator and battery storage?  Preachin' to the choir.  I guess this craft has been running for many years now, so hats off to them for running the boat for years.  They should be selling them, right?  The notes below the video start out saying: "After the first shocking findings - that a global clean-up of the oceans was now unrealistic.." OK so they figured out the main reason for the project was "unrealistic" - what's new?  Not sure why they used the word "now" to modify unrealistic.  Sounds like it was always unrealistic and they finally figured that out.  Plastic in the oceans or anywhere else bothers me, but my biggest environmental concern is the vanishing insects, including honeybees and now, the Monarch butterfly, suddenly in severe decline, possibly due to neonicotinoid pesticides - oh look, spellcheck doesn't know the big words, thinks I must have misspelled neonicotinoids.  It wants to change it to "nondeterministic".   Sorry spellcheck, people are still smarter than machines.


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <joefaust333@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25272 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Yes Doug, it's better to welcome peers without paranoid dread, and hope the best for them all. You are confused to think easy conviviality is technical endorsement. "All roads lead to the ST" is endorsement. In fact, I favor DavidO's paravane energy approach, not Minesto, still, big thanks to all active developers.

Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25273 From: Santos Date: 3/20/2019
Subject: Re: Race for Water Foundation
Doug can find key numbers on sailing forums. The system under kite power can deliver around 20kW and up, depending on conditions. A rather awesome "homestead" circling the world, far beyond Doug's wildest hope.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25274 From: dougselsam Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Dear daveS:  Thanks for reminding us about ST.  I have what I think is valid reasoning behind the now-ancient slogan "All roads lead to SuperTurbine(R)"  It's more than just a tagline.  Remember, my inventive thrust in AWE was about 30 years ahead of the pack.  The "greatest minds" in AWE were celebrated for coming up with ideas I had thought of as a kid in the mid 20th century.  Maybe some people could "do the math" and realize I might have a few key insights they are not even remotely aware of.  Your "conviviality" might be a symptom of your own technological "confusion".  That's a feature of "The Syndrome": emotion-based understanding, rather than comprehending key engineering facts, leading inevitably to a "shoot the messenger" approach to known, accomplished wind energy experts and demonstrated knowledgeable practitioners.  Ever notice how you emotionally rule out any opinion coming from experienced wind energy people? 
:)
DougS


---In AirborneWindEnergy@yahoogroups.com, <santos137@...
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25275 From: dougselsam Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: "Technological Readiness" in the news
I just had to share this article/video from Bloomberg, revealing that a jumpseat pilot, onboard the same Lion Air 737 Max that crashed last year, saved the plane from the same malfunction the day before the crash.  Somehow the lesson did not make it to the next crew, who didn't handle the glitch, and crashed. 
The automation of jetliners has always concerned me from the standpoints of:
a) pilots not even having direct control of the aircraft, but instead with a computer, so, unable to even fly the plane at all, if the computer has a glitch
b) pilots losing the experience and ability to do what is called "seat-of-the-pants flying" (like daveS' dad, the airshow pilot) where they can just grab the controls and fly the plane manually. The problem there is, with the plane flying itself most of the time, the pilots have almost no experience actually flying the plane. therefore, no "feel" for how to grab the controls and fly it.
Seems like AWE might want to pay attention and see if there are applicable lessons to be learned.  Last I heard, there is now a criminal investigation underway regarding how the 737 Max was even certified to fly.  Do you think they used a "TRL readiness matrix"?
Here's a new slogan:  "Design-by-committee, fly-by-committee, crash-by-committee".  Or maybe it should read "crash-by-computer".
My information is the new, larger GE engines changed the physical weight-distribution balance of the aircraft, addressed using a software "band-aid", but it turned out not to be "ouchless".
So a lesson there might be, for non-military aeronautical endeavors, inherent physical stability, rather than physically-unstable aircraft dependent on software for stability, might be the safest choice.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25276 From: Santos Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: AWE Progress by TRL, Scoring Matrix, and Critical Path Analysis
Doug,

You were never "ahead of (a) pack" in AWE. From Pocock to Faust, and Payne '75, is a long list before you.

Coy Harris is AWE's top conventional wind expert, Director of American Wind Power Museum, who erected and maintains over a hundred turbines, from old Dutch to new industrial types. We also have Fort Felker, who oversaw NREL's farm, and Gipe is quite helpful.

They don't have your "all idiots" obsession, but believe in broad AWE progress. 

Good luck coming up with something "ahead of the pack" today,
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25277 From: Santos Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: "Technological Readiness" in the news
Good time for Doug to read TACO1.0, to see how TRL9 culture is duly certified.
Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25280 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Rope-drive transmission

Kitewinder uses it. See the link on https://forum.awesystems.info/t/rope-drive-transmission/366.


Another link with an interesting note from DaveS on https://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-03-06/the-mechanical-transmission-of-power-3-endless-rope-drives/  : “As we will see, this makes rope transmission more efficient than any other alternative up to a distance of a few kilometres.” and "Transmitting this energy to Earth is most advantageously done by mechanical power transmission, says researcher Dave Santos from KiteLab Group in an interview:

“Electric cables would be too heavy. With kites, power-to-mass-plus-aerodrag is critical, and the mechanical case wins by a large factor. Wire rope is not quite so amazing as our new materials, but good enough for a critical advantage over electrical. The main challenge is to learn how to drive ropes at speeds of hundreds-of-miles-an-hour.”"

A high tension due to the power or/and lifting kite(s) would favor a better transmission.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25281 From: dave santos Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: Rope-drive transmission
Clarifying a bad quote- I prefer to state "power-to-mass" by itself is "critical". Aerodrag is complicated in power kite physics, where drag-force can contribute greatly to overall harvested power.

Lets be clear that after more than a decade of study of rope-driving v. electrical, driveshaft, etc. transmissions, there seems to be no serious doubt that rope delivers the highest power-to-mass (and lowest cost) of anything available. We do not expect power kite lines to be replaced by any different transmission basis.

The fear has been "premature down-select" of technical options, but at a tipping point in the R&D curve, beware of "tardy down-select". Its still early enough to entertain odd selections in our testing mix, to settle doubts by non-expert decision-makers/investors, but the winning solution must break from the pack of dead-end approaches.



 

Kitewinder uses it. See the link on https://forum.awesystems.info/t/rope-drive-transmission/366.


Another link with an interesting note from DaveS on https://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-03-06/the-mechanical-transmission-of-power-3-endless-rope-drives/  : “As we will see, this makes rope transmission more efficient than any other alternative up to a distance of a few kilometres.” and "Transmitting this energy to Earth is most advantageously done by mechanical power transmission, says researcher Dave Santos from KiteLab Group in an interview:

“Electric cables would be too heavy. With kites, power-to-mass-plus-aerodrag is critical, and the mechanical case wins by a large factor. Wire rope is not quite so amazing as our new materials, but good enough for a critical advantage over electrical. The main challenge is to learn how to drive ropes at speeds of hundreds-of-miles-an-hour.”"

A high tension due to the power or/and lifting kite(s) would favor a better transmission.


Group: AirborneWindEnergy Message: 25282 From: benhaiemp Date: 3/21/2019
Subject: Re: Rope-drive transmission
And what is more efficient between rope-drive (Kitewinder as example) and rope-pull (yoyo as example)?