I
think Rod got his head turned by AWEC PR. I don't see that the
consortium has any intention to be truly cooperative (ie. transparent
and democratic). Lets set up a test and see.
The
notes are very welcome, but not an ideal substitute for omitting live
streaming this year. Why it takes weeks to get permissions when
everybody is in the room is weird. All presentations should be
considered public information, as a default.
Having
attended many scientific/engineering conferences, I agree with Labat,
the conference was poorly scheduled, in that no one could attend all
presentations, despite the small number of presenters. A stark division
between marketing track (yuk) and eng track was not respected, and the
short tech-sharing hours in favor of sight-seeing and entertainment
also indicate poor tech focus. The AWEIA ban from any role in
conference organizing, was a stupid idea, if cooperation was intended.
I give it a 60/100.
The
attachment in Sun Microsystems .odt format triggered my virus warnings,
and also spied on its maker (Rod spent 152 minutes on this). Here's the
text in a proper open format-
=============== Rod's AWEC2013 Notes =====================
For those of you not able to attend
AWEC2013, It was slick and enjoyable.
The emphasis on the need for cooperation in R&D, in legislation, financing
and in scaling was evident throughout.
Thanks must go to organisers and attendees. 100/100 for your efforts!
In lieu of live feed video, I took brief notes on the presentations. My
reporting skills are sketchy at best. You may wish to wait until the videos are
released after approval.
here goes....
Main advances for Open AWE at AWEC2013
1.
Opening: Guido calls for
united, sharing AWE to tackle political obstacles and guide legislative
framework for certification & permits approach.. Quoting greenpeace
sponsorship of study into societal implications of energy systems cent/kWh AWE
wins also in terms of resource use at estimated 6g/kWh with gas 280 &
nuclear @270
2.
Guido further encouraged
sharing of results from testing. This will also make convincing legislators of
our case easier
3.
Plenty of interest in Kite
Power Coop and kpower displays. Tech sharing and support was evident throughout
demo day event.
4.
Key relationships established
with wow investments and researchers
5.
AWE was featured and We were
seen flying skybow and demonstrating Open AWE on rbb tv
6.
Rod was inspired on a new
multi-stage launch concept.
7.
International cooperation with
participation pan europe, Japan, South Africa, America
8.
Skysails iterate need for
partnerships and collaboration. Investors need and want a fantasy. Everyone needs
to believe vision. (encouraging for social funding)
9.
Skysails not afraid to list
technical challenges and problems dealt with.
10.
Skysails encourage spinn off
products, (energy consulting in weather impact on shipping, yacht
propulsion...) encouraging for skybow gen project, maybe even advisor
capacities and general KP Coop + ideas flow
11.
Skysails; long term game brings
prizes, networks, crossovers, customers, certification standards... keep at
networking and defining standards.
12.
Skysails; “IP is not a roadblock”
13.
Skysails; TEAM and INVESTORS
need to trust and believe in direction.
14.
Ampyx 2 x funds with networking
benefits Skipol airport and WWF (Worldide Fund For Nature) Gives lobby Power …
encouraging types of partners with open interests.
15.
AMPYX VC gave a year long
funding battle where Ampyx would have been troubled not meeting targets :
Decided selling equity worldwide was dangerous, non existant in US, possible in
the Netherlands.... they generated with a financial product 900,000 EUR crowd
sourcing on NETPLANETCROWD
16.
Ampyx Currently certified under
light unmanned aircraft regulations. However with changes due there is only
commercial and non commercial certification distinction based on risk (keep it
light etc..) need to train & certify ground crew. Airworthiness can only be
cert by USC in EU. Call for joint lobbying power as Drone lobby outweighs AWE
voice.
17.
Enerkite claim there is no
scaling problem as long as you start small and build up. 10M kite = 30kW
30m=100kW 125m= 500kW... show wind @80m map claiming a sweetspot @ 300m up, due
to mixing winds through daylight hours.. data shows sweetspot changing.
18.
Enerkite flying minimum of 1x
per week
19.
Enerkite designing for massive
gusts and drops 0 – 30m/s in 1 sec (kite retracted before actual event)
20.
Enerkite; Being able to vary
altitudes gives sweetspot hit advantages
21.
Adrian Gambier control : laid out complexity chart slating major
players chances in terms of complex approaches toward control, supervision, mooring rope,
groundstation, comms, start & land sys, stability, scalability... claimed
scaling carousel was easy however
22.
Gambier: Fraunhofer look for
Dependability RAMS aproach Reliability, Availability, Maintainability Safety
23.
Gambier too many systems no
long term, no fault tollerent, no redundancy, only theoretical analysis
24.
Q session claim: yoyo uncoil
recoil should be split between seprate gen / motor
25.
Q session claim: power density
W/(m2 m/s) low so far in kite sys and only 6 month material lifespan
26.
Q session claim: skysails 6
month kite material life including shape retention & deformation issues=
sell more kites
27.
Q session claim:Appeal made to
audience to use standard products from industry.
28.
Q session claim:Stated
regulation infrastructure is a barrier to tethered systems
29.
Rod met with Axelle Vire of
Imperial college London going to Delft, she is looking for models for analysis
and is interested in KPC / Kpower mothra ones. Currently uses fluidity markup
graphical language.
30.
WOW currently financin 2 x AWE
projects. Sold kgr & kgr has resold, has test field facilities. WOW fund if
ready to increase size in two years. WOW would like to have SPA foundation …
later argued for in talk of Airborne Wind Energy Association EU formation …
open to academia and low budget… over 30 joined aeceu after dinner session.
31.
WOW look for project management
relationship as critical for investment confidence... formal not solely
engineering aproach. Project planning necessary.
32.
Diadalos Capital funded Ampyx
and enerkite... trick is as percieved risk goes down capital needs go way up.
Standard financing model kills many startups near end game.
33.
Diadalos study of investors
Percieved risk factors
1.
tecnology reliable? Safe?
Working? Cheaper? Maintenance? Running cost? (AWE Tecs say this is solved … but
if only we could show it)
2.
Regulatory risks,
permits... (AWE Tecs say this is
biggest risk... some countries more favourable here)
3.
Technology choice is it a
concept space winner?
34.
Daidalos : friend started
dogfood.com as venture capital matching service
35.
Daidalos advice: make it easier
for investors / simplify story but give detail answers, have non biased 3rd
party info, prototype and demo, offer advice to 3rd parties, Talk to
diadalos about 6yrs tech due dilligence.
36.
Daidalos advice: Asset finance
situation and small distributed capacity == big money in parts development
37.
KFL available to sponsor
companies with German link 73400000000 EUR invested (PA?) AAA rating different
loan schemes available.
38.
Simon Bolten (assistant to head
of innovation @ Enercon) Presented model of profitability life-cycle for share
of concept profits. (Where a dominant design is emerging, as product innovation
goes down process innovation goes up)
39.
Simon Bolten Appropriability ,
Regime and imitability all play a part in available roles, as do product
modularity for outer innovations / standards
interopeability
40.
Simon Bolten Complementry
assets; marketing, aftersales, support from generic to specialist to
co-specialised.
41.
Simon Bolten ; in TRL check
result companies are not evaluating all of the concepts... specialising early. Interesting
varied claims on TRL. Expected product launches have all slipped. 1 high trl
tiny gen claimed close to 2014 release schedule (rods note was that skybow?)
42.
Simon Bolten ; 65% consider
their core tech is explicit and easy to architecture. Range of imitability self
impressions.
43.
Simon Bolten more pie slices in
being ahead, ip rights, secrecy, control over employees (rods note certainly
Simon wouldn't talk about Enercon)
44.
Simon Bolten Collaboration and
cooperative pooling of IP is most effective way forward. Obtaining funding is
seen as critical by normal companies
45.
Simon Bolten Estimated share of
concept profit goes 29%innovators, 25% customers, 23% suppliers, 23% imitators.
46.
Simon Bolten suggested consider
intended introduction size, ; alliance and licensing vs going alone. Hinted
toward a large business maybe being disadvantaged with core tech KU... but
certainly had sales , manufacturing capacity, lobbying clout, certifying
skills...
47.
Damon Van Der Lind claim power
factor of rigid =
makani wing. 600kW. power curve sort of close to prediction, wind range
<10
48.
Rolf van der Vlugt (Awesome
speed kiter Dutch record holder) Sponsored by Harbour of Rotterdam. Kinematic
ratio to kite course graph gives sweet spot crossovers.
49.
Rolf van der Vlugt When you
include mass in models reeling factor is degraded ( more real)
50.
Aldo Zgraggen; best to optimise
position w.r.t wind direction ( not path
shape) single optimal position. Average traction force is a good measure for
being aligned with the wind.
51.
_
_
52.
Aldo Zgraggen ; ∆T is good indicator
of downwind F can find optimal
elevation.
53.
Only 1 loop needed to
find search direction = speed up calc by factor of 2 and force tripled by adaptation.
54.
Real time algorithm
added to proven model : wind direction and speed at wing not needed.
55.
Joseph Coleman
Limerick; only 6GW grid size in Ireland so clutches separate retract motor and
gen system. Drum is encoded and synchronised with 2 x other kite gen systems
for smoothing.
56.
Joseph Coleman
developed and validated a parallel synchronous test bench
57.
Moritz Diel;
modelling rotation start. land still the
modelling issue. Control using embeded optimisation based on reconsiling a past
moving horizon estimation with the forecasted
model predictive control. Non linear with 22 states 10ms to solve.
58.
Moritz Diel; ACADO
released as LGPL in c++ fast (Automatic Control Dynamic Optimisation)
59.
Moritz Diel; outdoor
4m carousel too high to bring to Berlin.
60.
Moritz Diel; Leuven
open to everyone with accurate sim models to explore different designs &
small prototypes. RAWESOME avalilable LGPL and adapted in python
61.
Carlo Perassi and WOW
hosted a workshop where suggestion everyone joins foundation with WOW for
regulation management. Starting an AWEA EU encouraged by majority in room. Able
to be consistent in approach yet co-joined to other bodies. Based on German WEA
model, driven by windmill owners. AWEC costs EU 45 000 to host. Some profit
could be made from that to support AWEA EU.
62.
Rolf Luchsinger Reel
out optimal speed not as high as .3x wind ~0.25 better. Higher mass kite needs
to keep in smaller circle. Best = mix
e.g. not sailplane not kite... TWING. Ram air = leading edge problem.
Sponsors EMPA n/w Eth EPFI FESTO Zurcher kantonal bank
63.
Lorenzo Fagiano;
velocity angle in wind window their key & aiming for only 2 target points
(1 each side) many approaches to control studied. Can do the lot with ground sensors. A learned controller can
perform better than a human and doesn't get bored.
64.
Omnidea; what a
sausage!
65.
Roland Schmel;
Aeroelasticity FEA from airbag software. Python FE solver. Simple 4
part beams
and tethers...16 DOF model? Simple reverse gravity models.
jellyfishing . . exterior section aerodynamic
modeling Pre computed CFD applied.
66.
SKYSAILS 320m2
made. peak 55kW @ 30m2 need reliable control sys with gust@30% extra speed tether pull = 70%
rise. KISS, have explicit dynamic understanding, and transparent deterministic
design.
67.
Wind makes stuff
tricky (rod thinking to self use ground effect then) design super simple … yep. Yaw rate =
speed.deflection. Simplistic control
setup detailed.
68.
Kazuo Arakawa applied
mech Fukuoka Japan, loads of toy tests, spinning sausage and twisted ropes,
doug S lauged at again by audience. Loads of toys and encouraged to experiment.
Kite Power Coop card presented to Kazuo on end of last day.
69.
Milan Vukov fast
solvers for non linear optimal control mixing results of different sample rate
inputs. (rotating launch) Stereo vision @12.5 Hz solver real time rate 25Hz.
Rawesome interface of ACADO for python by Greg Horn www.acadotoolkit.org LGPL license 70.
Richard Leloup; kite
as aux propulsion. Calculation for an induced velocity to ship. LEI kite 3d
scanned for modeling. Analytical with NACA4 smoothing. 3D line lifting model.
Sponsors, Beyond the Sea, cma, CGM, shipping partner.
71.
BSD license, python,
interested in doing more tests on other designs. Numba, fast solver, match test
results well.. As per abstract. Software on Openopt.org
72.
David Olinger:
Worcester Massachusetts USA NSF grant, EPA , Dow Chemical, Heifer
internationals heifer farm as semi permanent test site. Powersled 81 controlled
AoA with back lines . 3 setups for cycling dipping boom pump operation. A lot
of optimisation available yet … but pumps water and cheaper than a tower
solution.
73.
Ariadne Schefold and
Franz Stuber Resources for education. Kids doing concept design. Cooperative
with other teacher training edu bases. Creative Commons licensing. Considering
adding a lot more to wiki after AWEC2013. Integrated lessons.
74.
Rod Read;Gibbering
incoherently on stage until kicked off
75.
Bachtijar Asheri,
Flying plaza concepts for Port of Rotterdam and Saraceno. Artist led project …
chose tetrahedral architecture. Jurgen
Wassin structural deflections and loading. Then Bachtijar inviscid CFD,
Standard K-ξ
model Re=5x105. Two recirculation regions behind plates like v
shaped lung. Physical model could operate in 4 – 9 m/s
Moderator
Summaries
Roland
Schmehl Glad that 3 groups are finding similar yoyo optimisation results,
parallel research good for comparisons.
Udo
Zilmann Glad WOW have made money. Companies used to predict 2 years till auto
fly....but now more relaxed. we're getting very close.
Damon
Vander Lind impressed with Delft analysis of impact of mass in modelling;
Adaptations of Swiss kite optimisations; Irish Grid smoothing sys; Moriz high
wind Rawesome software LGPL; and overall steady progress. Cooperation on
regulatory framework is important.
Christina
Archer. Good measurements and algorithms are important. Amazing 341m 24 yrs,
10Hz MET tower data presented... Wind is chaos. Log law and Power Law never
happens. 10M tower found dynamic optimal altitude for kite sys. Low Hanging
Fruit LLJ's. Maps available + quick calc showed x TW's power available there.
Appeal for answers to NY state research email as funding for research is
available there. Hopes EU and US AWE remain close. Stated importance of meeting
regularly.
Jϋrgen
Thorbeck Honour to see this from aircraft design viewpoint , hopes we are not
reinventing wheels. Delighted to see work on pumping for 3rd world.
Encouraged by experience learning programme. Liked philosophy of AWE designing
and community sharing. Architecture in mix. Delft advancement of dynamics.
Advises to look for similarities with aviation, especially controlling
distortion of wings like aircraft do. Expects unique architectures like 3rd
world pump will find a market but one major architecture will win out
eventually. Dont ignore aerospace
knowledge.
Guido
Exotic set.. LTA, Skywindpower, power to gas, boats following wind with gen
sys, gas – methanol, re-using old pipes with hydrogen, enertrack hybrid. Windtech
Autodesk available, control chassis for NTS.
Enemies of AWE are within, we need to make a community. We need to
discuss permits and certifications.
Brand Lau with bouyant, Tommy Finland rigid wing. Big AWE overview
blades.
Would
never want to separate EU and US AWE occasionally necessary as bodies though to
address specifics. Where is AWEC2014? Delighted with Asian attendance at 2013.
Expect
video of presentations after permissions in 2 – 3 weeks.
Everyone
applauded organisational effort.